In comparison, there were 35 such districts corresponding with the 2016 presidential race and 83 mismatched districts as a result of the 2008 elections, according to Daily Kos Elections. Right now, there are just 16 House members in mismatched districts.
This decrease in ticket-splitting is more than an electoral dynamic or the “nationalization of our politics,” as the political team at NBC News detailed recently. Susan Collins’ victory in Maine even more impressive. Of the 69 Senate races in the last two presidential cycles, in just one state did voters pick a president from one party and a senator from the other. It’s a similar trend in the other chamber. In 2020, with a few exceptions, where Trump won, Republican candidates won and where Trump lost, GOP candidates lost as well. In essence, 2020 was a correction of sorts.
CALIFORNIA GRIDLOCK TICKET FULL
Two years later, when the full Trump coalition came out to vote with the president on the ballot, Republicans recaptured some of those seats. 2020, a correctionīasically, Democrats pushed into Trump territory in 2018 and captured some House seats when some of the president’s coalition stayed home. That is remarkably similar to the 222-213 Democratic edge in House races, now that the contest in New York’s 22nd District is finally over and we have results in all 435 districts. Biden finished ahead of Trump in 224 districts, while Trump finished ahead of Biden in 211.
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